Thursday
13Nov2008
Fearless Forecast - Bond Takes 'Solace' in $60 Million Plus
Thursday, November 13, 2008 at 12:44PM
We saw a big weekend for
Madagascar
(although I sure didn't see it being that big), so will history repeat
itself with
Quantum of Solace? Yes. And I think it will do
so almost dollar-for-dollar.
2 - Madagascar ($36 million)
3 - Role Models ($10 million)
4 - High School Musical ($6 million)
5 - Changeling ($4.5 million)
But the opening weekend isn't the big issue with Bond, in my opinion. I wonder how long it will hold an audience. If it can be a player for a month, then this could beat even Casino Royale's impressive showing.
Because everyone expects it to do very well this weekend, there are no other major releases scheduled. You see that a lot, although Mamma Mia! initially did well opening against the second-biggest movie ever, and it has been arguably the world's strongest non-tentpole film of the year in the months since then. So perhaps that philosophy needs to be reconsidered. But without direct competition, I think Quantum of Solace should have a huge weekend and could eventually top $175 million domestically if audiences respond favorably in the second weekend.
The Top Five:
1 - Quantum of Solace ($63 million)
2 - Madagascar ($36 million)
3 - Role Models ($10 million)
4 - High School Musical ($6 million)
5 - Changeling ($4.5 million)
Last week's Fearless Forecast was a trainwreck. We didn't predict Madagascar would hit $63 million and we didn't think Role Models would roll up on $20 million. Also, Soul Men was a bomb. So, do me a solid, Quantum of Solace, and make right around $62 million. Thanks.
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