Thursday
04Dec2008
Fearless Forecast - 'Four Christmases,' Round Two
Thursday, December 4, 2008 at 2:33PM
We said a few weeks ago that the real box office action
this fall was in November, not December. Just look at the results: Three
straight movies debuting with over $60 million, three straight movies setting a
new mark for the fourth-highest opening of 2008.
Madagascar had $63 million, and it now sits
just shy of $150 million, then
Quantum of Solace beat that debut by about four
million, and its worldwide number is staggering - it'll hit half a billion this
weekend, and might still get to $700 million overall.
Twilight, of course, was the wild card, and
we're looking at at least $150 million for that after a $70 million opening.
2 - Twilight ($12 million)
3 - Bolt ($11 million)
4 - Quantum of Solace ($9 million)
5 - Punisher ($8 million)
And December kicks off with...Punisher: War Zone. Meh. There will be a little life in December with The Day the Earth Stood Still, although I don't think that's a $70 million debut, and looking ahead, maybe Seven Pounds and Yes Man will do pretty well, and I think Bedtime Stories will rule Christmas, but are we going to get three movies that combine for $500 million here in the U.S.? Nope.
Four Christmases bested projections last week, and I expect the good times to keep rolling for Reese and Vince. Twilight will still be a strong player, though it has lost significant steam. Bolt, the Disney 3-D flick that got overshadowed by teenage vampires two weeks ago, has played Twilight pretty even ever since, and it seems safe now to predict a total box office between $100 - $115 million here at home. It's certainly not one of the studio's big successes, but it may be enough to call it a minor hit.
The only other new releases of note are Cadillac Records and Nobel Son, and neither one is popping up in wide enough release to throw the final standings for a loop.
The Top Five: 1 - Four Christmases ($15.5 million)
2 - Twilight ($12 million)
3 - Bolt ($11 million)
4 - Quantum of Solace ($9 million)
5 - Punisher ($8 million)
Colin Boyd | Permalink | in Bolt, Box Office, Punisher, Quantum of Solace, Twilight | Print Article | Email Article | 1 Comment | Share Article
Reader Comments (1)
So is anyone ready to call Vince Vaughn a modern day Bing Crosby yet?
Someone get the man some singing lessons, and we're on to something here, methinks!