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Friday
20Jun2008

Can Will Smith Remain Bulletproof After 'Hancock'?

hancockposter5.jpg Anne Thompson at Variety has a great article about movie stars and their box office reliability. That's a big topic in the middle of summer. Launching giant event movies is easier when you know people love your star. Her thesis is that some actors reach a point where they can do no wrong, that even if Will Smith made a bunch of hideous movies, audiences would still respond positively because he's in what Thompson calls The Fluke Zone.

As it happens, Smith hasn't made a bunch of hideous movies, and it's untrue that most major movie stars do. I would say that Nicolas Cage and Julia Roberts probably have the most litter on their lawns in that department, but Tom Cruise, an in-his-prime Harrison Ford, and even Arnold Schwarzenegger rarely made tremendous mistakes. We're talking something catastrophic of the Love Guru vintage. They've all been in bad movies, sure, but when they know who's paying to see them, more often than not, the big movie stars meet those expectations. If not, well...they wouldn't be gigantic stars, now would they?

Will Smith's movies, with one or two exceptions, have at least been pretty good. He actually under-promises and over-delivers better than anyone else in the movies. Hitch is a better rom-com than it should be, I, Robot and I am Legend are better pseudo-sci-fi stuff than you'd think, and The Pursuit of Happyness is one of the rare films you know will be weepy and sentimental but just happens to be unavoidably fantastic, and gets better every time you watch it.

So Thompson wonders if Hancock will deliver, and I get where she's coming from. Four months ago, it appeared unstoppable: Will Smith on the Fourth of July playing a down-on-his-luck, surly superhero. That's great. But the trailers haven't knocked us backwards and the talk of late re-shoots raise some doubts. What I once believed would be the second or third biggest hit of the summer I now think might struggle to finish in the top six.

If anyone can overcome a possible hiccup in terms of quality and still sell $300 million worth of tickets right now, that person is Will Smith. I mean, he's it. He's the biggest movie star in the world in 2008, which has as much to do with his magnetism and easygoing demeanor as it does his versatility as an actor and acumen at choosing projects. Nobody else in the business right now could take something that looks questionable and turn it not only into something pretty good but also something very, very profitable.

So read Anne Thompson's piece. I like theories, and hers is very good. She also has some revealing picks for who she thinks is "in the Zone" and why.

Reader Comments (1)

You're right about Smith -- he's definitely the biggest, most reliable star out there right now. And before him, I'd say Tom Hanks was the biggest star with the Midas touch (with Tom Cruise slightly behind him). He couldn't go wrong between 1992 and 2003, and even 2004's "The Polar Express" and 2006's "The Da Vinci Code" were big hits.

Thursday, July 3, 2008 | Unregistered CommenterRobert

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