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Saturday
30Aug2008

Box Office - 'Babylon A.D.' Barely Leads the Weakest Weekend in Five Months

DateSaturday, August 30, 2008 at 12:22PM
It's been a while since we've seen numbers like this: The top five movies at the box office on Friday combined to make $13 million. That's all five of them. We discussed the Labor Day weekend and Hollywood's aversion to put out quality on the last unofficial weekend of summer in our Fearless Forecast on Thursday. These numbers back up our argument: If you release a Tropic Thunder here or a Step Brothers or a Mummy on Labor Day, do you think they'd make money?

As it is, the race for the top spot is too close to call. After Friday's estimates, according to Box Office Mojo, Babylon A.D. leads Tropic Thunder by a mere $30,000. I think that will turn in favor of Tropic Thunder, because in its third weekend, that film should be more stable and consistent over the four days. The $3.1 million Babylon A.D. earned is the spike, the curious crowd.

The House Bunny appears to have a better chance of holding down third place, with $2.6 million on Friday. There's some distance between that flick and both Traitor and The Dark Knight, which are trying to lock in a fourth place finish. Kudos to Anna Faris, who deserves better material after this.

Death Race has plummeted to seventh place, while new release Disaster Movie appears headed for a four-day total in the $10 - $12 million range, which is $10 - $12 million more than it deserves. It's the worst movie in at least six years.

How will these paltry numbers look after the four-day weekend? I still think Tropic Thunder will finish on top. Babylon A.D. might make a bit more money on Saturday than it did on Friday, but it will tail off sharply after that, and as I said, Tropic Thunder is steady, and shouldn't have a big dip or big gain over the next three days. The Dark Knight should edge out Traitor - it only trails the Don Cheadle thrilla by $10,000 after one day - for the same reason. Disaster Movie could sneak into the top five, but the bad reviews and the beaten dead horse will probably catch up to it and keep it where it is.

What about The Dark Knight's total? Still going to hit $500 million this weekend, maybe $505 million after Monday. Worldwide, the summer's box office king will eclipse $900 million and might be in the top seven of all time internationally in another couple of weeks.

AuthorColin Boyd | | in , , , , , , , , | Print ArticlePrint Article | | Comment1 Comment |

Reader Comments (1)

the previews for Babylon AD made me expect something a lot more original... it totally felt like a cross between Minority Report and the Fifth Element

Tuesday, September 2, 2008 | Unregistered Commentermedia boy

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