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Saturday
28Nov2009

Insiders Rate Potential Best Picture Nominees

DateSaturday, November 28, 2009 at 9:39PM
Here's news you can use: A chart of what Oscar handicappers are thinking moving into the final month of the year. Now, this year, we have ten Best Picture nominees, and the winner will be determined by the weighting of the votes (first place votes are worth more than second place, and so on). You can see it's more or less the movies we thought would be in the running at this stage, but the order might surprise you.

Thanks to Movie City News for putting together the survey, and you can see more potential nominees to find out where your favorites are at this stage. Of course, these aren't Oscar voters, and I'm not certain if this list is each of the writers' personal preferences or what they think will be in these positions come next March. It doesn't resemble a critics list, however, at least not in total.

An Education is a little higher than I'd have it, but the thing that really stands out is, as I've said since the ten-film system was announced this summer, there are still fewer than five movies with legitimate chances to win, so the extra movies in this category are just filler. Realistically, according to this gauge, only two movies have a decent shot, because neither Precious nor Up in the Air gets anything lower than a fourth-place vote.

But these aren't voters and this is hardly a true representative sample; there are thousands of Oscar voters and only 15 writers on this list. However, I still think there's something to it because unlike Oscar voters, the experts polled here actually see all the movies. There's a novel concept.

So there will be Academy voters who won't make a point to see movies that start to fade in the eyes of other voters or stories like this one. When they have their stack of screeners, they'll watch Precious before they put (500) Days of Summer in their DVD players.

AuthorColin Boyd | | in , , , , , | Print ArticlePrint Article | | CommentPost a Comment |

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