Thursday
Apr162009
Thursday, April 16, 2009 at 11:31AM Fearless Forecast - Zac Efron Wins War of the Disney Kids
Disney icons go head-to-head this weekend as the second weekend of Hannah Montana takes on the new Zac Efron movie 17 Again. Now, 17 isn't a Disney movie, and that's kind of the headline: How can these kids do when they move on with their careers. Efron's in a different position than most, in that he could be famous without Disney's help because he's talented and possesses whatever that thing is that makes some people stars.

I don't expect 17 Again to blow the doors off of its opening weekend, but I do think it will wear the crown on Monday morning. It's in 3,200 theaters or so, which is big but not monstrous, so a $20-ish million weekend seems about right. Might be $17, might go up to about $22. But could it do that without Zac Efron? Not a chance.
As for Hannah, she'll have a sophomore slump, but we saw that coming as the Saturday and Sunday figures rolled in last week. If it loses about 60% or so, that'll drop a $32 million debut to around $15 million. Believe it or not, that should still be good enough for second place. The other new releases are Crank: High Voltage and State of Play, which should both be in the $11 - $14 million range. Crank ought to perform better, even though it's barely making it to over 2,000 theaters.
The Top Five:
1 - 17 Again ($20 million)
2 - Hannah Montana ($15.5 million)
3 - Crank ($13.5 million)
4 - Monsters vs. Aliens ($13 million)
5 - State of Play ($12 million)

1 - 17 Again ($20 million)
2 - Hannah Montana ($15.5 million)
3 - Crank ($13.5 million)
4 - Monsters vs. Aliens ($13 million)
5 - State of Play ($12 million)
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Reader Comments (1)
"...whatever that thing is that makes some people stars."
Apparently eye brows