Wednesday, December 31, 2008 at 10:18PM Alternate 'Eagle Eye' Ending Worse Than Real Ending

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Wednesday, December 31, 2008 at 10:18PM 
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Thursday, November 20, 2008 at 3:42AM We wondered a couple of weeks ago why in the wide, wide world of sports the Kung Fu Panda DVD was being released on a Sunday instead of the more traditional Tuesday. It seemed odd because it fell between Election Day and Veteran's Day, which I guess could be hindrances, but is making it available when people don't know to look for it a better approach?

Thursday, November 6, 2008 at 12:48PM

Consider this: The first movie opened in third place on Memorial Day weekend back in 2005 with $47 million, albeit against a lot of competition (Star Wars, The Longest Yard). But even though it will easily take a victory lap this weekend, only six movies have opened north of $60 million in 2008, and this doesn't exactly have that aura.
The good news for Madagascar is that it's opening against a couple of very adult-oriented comedies that have modest expectations - Role Models and Soul Men. Role Models is getting great reviews, actually, but probably doesn't have any real staying power. That's tougher to find for comedies, anyway. Soul Men will draw a slightly bigger crowd at first because of the passing of Bernie Mac, but it, too, will struggle after about the second weekend. I think you'd be generous to say that either one of those movies will have a total box office greater than Madagascar's output in just its first three days.
As for the movies already in theaters, the only real story is how close Eagle Eye will get to becoming another $100 million movie for Shia LaBeouf. It's already made $93 million, believe it or not. The rest of them, from Zack and Miri to High School Musical, have pretty much done most of their damage. Changeling is the only film among that group that could still be doing decent business in another couple of weeks, because it draws a much older crowd that will see something they really want to see three weeks late rather than spending money on something just because it's new.
The Top Five:
1 - Madagascar ($49 million)
2 - Soul Men ($12.5 million)
3 - High School Musical ($10 million)
4 - Role Models ($9.5 million)
5 - Changeling ($6.5 million)
Last week, our predictions were thrown off by Halloween night. We apologize for not taking that into consideration. Still, we got the order exactly right, knowing that High School Musical would outdraw Zack and Miri. Our totals for the top three films were off considerably because of the Friday night hiccup, but we finished strong, predicting where The Haunting of Molly Hartley would wind up and suggesting - against the objections of our readers, by the way - that Changeling would do $9 million.
Saturday, October 18, 2008 at 2:46PM

The Secret Life of Bees is a slight surprise, taking third place on Friday, with Beverly Hills Chihuahua and Eagle Eye rounding out the day's top five. The week's other new release, Sex Drive, should finish in the $4 million range, which is about what was expected from the teen comedy.
Though we'll follow it more extensively next week, there are a rash of major box office bombs in theaters at the moment, with films like How to Lose Friends and Alienate People, The Express, Body of Lies, and City of Ember simply failing to connect with enough people. Only one of those films will make $20 million domestically - Body of Lies - while the others will be stuck around $10 million if they're lucky.
Thursday, October 9, 2008 at 2:47PM

The other new releases that appear headed for the top five are The Express and Quarantine, and they might be interchangeable. I don't mean in tone, certainly, but just in terms of their weekend receipts. The Express is a football movie that's frankly coming out in the exact wrong time of the year; football is the country's favorite televised sport, and if they're watching real college or pro football, why would they jump in the car and blow $20 or more on dramatized football? This movie needed to be released in mid-August.
As for Quarantine, it's a horror movie that might get some curiosity viewing, but because there will be very few reviews for it, it will basically have to fend for itself. The good news is that there isn't another movie so aggressively targeting the 18 - 24 crowd this weekend.
The Top Five:
1 - Body of Lies ($22.5 million)
